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Data InsightsJapan’s cherry trees have been blossoming earlier due to warmer spring temperatures

Japan’s cherry trees have been blossoming earlier due to warmer spring temperatures

A scatter plot showing the dates of peak cherry tree (Prunus jamasakura) blossoms in Kyoto, Japan, with the range of dates on the y-axis showing from March 11 to April 30. 

The vertical axis is labeled with dates in late March to late April, while the horizontal axis ranges from the years 812 to 2025. 

Pink dots represent individual blossom dates, with a darker red line marking the 20-year average blooming date, which trends earlier over time. 

The note at the bottom clarifies that the average calculation requires at least five years of data within the 20-year interval and mentions that dates may vary by one day during leap years. 

The data source is Yasuyuki Aono, from published work in 2021 and personal communications in 2025.

The peak flowering of cherry trees in Kyoto, Japan, has been recorded since the ninth century. Yasuyuki Aono and colleagues from the Osaka Prefecture University collated this data from historical diaries and chronicles, indicating the dates on which cherry blossom viewing parties had been held or other observations of peak blossom.

In 2025, the peak cherry blossom happened on April 4th.

This long-run data is a proxy measure for how the climate has changed. The onset of cherry blossoms is linked with warmer temperatures. Since the early 20th century, the combined effects of urbanization and higher temperatures due to climate change have gradually moved the peak blossom earlier in the year.

Explore this data in our interactive visualization

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